AFL 2011 Power Rankings – Round 14 – The Run Home

With 10 rounds to go, this week’s Power Rankings will look at “The Run Home” for the clubs in finals contention as well as a predicted end of season ladder position. Does your club have a tough run home? Read on to find out…

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Geelong 1 <NO CHANGE>

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The Cats have survived every challenge thrown at them in 2011, currently undefeated with 13 games played. Their run home should pose few problems, except a final round battle with the Pies. 3 trips interstate remaining. Predicted Finish – 1st

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Best 3-game window: Demons (Home), Suns (Home), Crows (Away) – Rounds 19-21

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Collingwood 2 <NO CHANGE>

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Statistically, the Pies have the most favourable draw coming home., bookended by games against the Hawks this round and the Cats in round 24. They face three rare trips outside of Melbourne. Could still finish top. Predicted Finish – 2nd

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Best 3-game window: Suns (Away), Dons (Home), Power (Away) – Rounds 18-20

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West Coast 3 UP 1

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Their superb win against the Blues could prove to be the ideal kick start to the run home. After Geelong in round 16, their final 8 matches could almost not be better, especially their final 3 games. This alone should ensure a surprise top 4 finish. Predicted Finish – 3rd

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Best 3-game window: Dons (Home), Lions (Away), Crows (Home) – Rounds 22-24

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Carlton 4 DOWN 1

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Round 14 was the Blues first loss to a team ranked below them in 2011, but it was a terribly disappointing performance. Just 1 interstate trip and 5 games vs. teams currently outside the top 8 means they should remain top 4. Are injuries catching up? Predicted Finish – 4th

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Best 3-game window: Dons (Home), Roos (Home), Demons (Home) – Rounds 18-20

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Hawthorn 5 <NO CHANGE>

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The Hawks face Collingwood this week but continue to be hampered by injury. A top 4 finish would be outstanding from this position, despite a reasonable draw with 5 games they should comfortably win. Have them just missing the top 4. Predicted Finish – 5th

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Best 3-game window: Power (Home), Blues (Home), Dogs (Home) – Rounds 21-23

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Sydney 6 <NO CHANGE>

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Yet to defeat a team in the top 4 despite 5 attempts, but continue to beat the teams below them – which should keep the Swans in finals contention. Have a good next month to come, in which they must stake their claim for finals action. Predicted Finish – 6th

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Best 3-game window: Suns (Away), Dockers (Home), Dogs (Home) – Rounds 16-18

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North Melbourne 7 <NO CHANGE>

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Have matches still to come against the Saints, Pies, Blues, Hawks, Dockers & Tigers – not exactly ideal, especially with the round 24 fixture versus Richmond being a potential "elimination" match. Predicted Finish – 8th

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Best 3-game window: Dogs (Home), Lions (Home), Blues (Home) – Rounds 17-19

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Melbourne 8 UP 4

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Outside of a potentially disastrous fixture in rounds 18-21 (Hawks, Cats, Blues & Eagles) – the Dees must capitalise on their other match-ups to snare a finals position. Round 22 versus the Tigers could be huge in shaping finals positions. Predicted Finish – 7th

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Best 3-game window: Tigers (Home), Suns (Home), Power (Away) – Rounds 22-24

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Fremantle 9 UP 1

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The Dockers have the worst fixture on the run home. After Gold Coast this week, their matches include the Eagles, Hawks, Blues and Pies (all in Perth) and face the Swans, Saints, Roos and Bulldogs away from home. To miss finals completely. Predicted Finish – Outside the 8

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Best 3-game window: Lions (Home), Suns (Home), Swans (Away) – Rounds 14-17

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Richmond 10 UP 1

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It's a mixed bag on the way home for the Tigers, but my feeling is that it's a year too early to be thinking finals. They have the Blues this week – with Geelong, West Coast, Sydney, Melbourne and North Melbourne to come by round 24. Predicted Finish – Outside the 8

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Best 3-game window: Blues (Home), Dons (Home), Suns (Away) – Rounds 15-17

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St Kilda 11 DOWN 2 BYE

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Such an ordinary start to 2011 will prove costly for the Saints. Their run home is relatively kind compared to some other teams, but I fear it's too late for a finals push – and they'd be better served in my view starting a much needed rebuild. Predicted Finish – Outside the 8

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Best 3-game window: Crows (Home), Suns (Away), Dockers (Home) – Rounds 18-20

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Bulldogs 12 UP 1

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Too little, too late. Showed signs against the lowly Suns before eventually winning by just less than 4 goals. Few would have expected it 3 months ago, but I don't see a major recovery from the Dogs at this point. Time to hit the reset button. Predicted Finish – Outside the 8

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Best 3-game window: Eagles (Home), Dons (Home), Power (Away) – Rounds 19-22

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Essendon 13 DOWN 5

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I predict the Dons to slide well out of finals contention from this stage of the season. They seem to have peaked in round 7 or 8, with their players now appearing tired and sluggish. Don't expect September action for the Bombers in 2011. Predicted Finish – Outside the 8

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Best 3-game window: Dogs (Home), Eagles (Away), Power (Home) – Rounds 21-23

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Gold Coast 14 <NO CHANGE>

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Best 3-game window: Lions (Away), Crows (Home), Demons (Away) – Rounds 21-23

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Brisbane 15 UP 1

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Best 3-game window: Roos ( Away), Crows (Home), Suns (Home) – Rounds 18-20

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Adelaide 16 DOWN 1

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Best 3-game window: Bombers (Home), Saints (Away), Power (Home) – Rounds 17-19

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Port Adelaide 17 <NO CHANGE>

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Best 3-game window: Saints (Home), Demons (Away), Crows (Home) – Rounds 16-19



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